Legislature(2021 - 2022)DAVIS 106

09/01/2021 01:00 PM House WAYS & MEANS

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Audio Topic
01:01:34 PM Start
01:02:33 PM HB3002
01:44:58 PM Presentation(s): Overview: Permanent Fund Formula Changes and Percent of Market Value
03:21:32 PM Adjourn
* first hearing in first committee of referral
+ teleconferenced
= bill was previously heard/scheduled
*+ HB3002 PERMANENT FUND: INCOME TELECONFERENCED
Heard & Held
-- Testimony <Invitation Only> --
+ Overview: Permanent Fund Formula Changes and TELECONFERENCED
Percent of Market Value
                    ALASKA STATE LEGISLATURE                                                                                  
           HOUSE SPECIAL COMMITTEE ON WAYS AND MEANS                                                                          
                       September 1, 2021                                                                                        
                           1:01 p.m.                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
                             DRAFT                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
MEMBERS PRESENT                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
Representative Ivy Spohnholz, Chair                                                                                             
Representative Andy Josephson                                                                                                   
Representative Calvin Schrage                                                                                                   
Representative Andi Story                                                                                                       
Representative Mike Prax                                                                                                        
Representative David Eastman                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MEMBERS ABSENT                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Representative Adam Wool                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
COMMITTEE CALENDAR                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
HOUSE BILL NO. 3002                                                                                                             
"An Act relating to the earnings of the Alaska permanent fund                                                                   
and the earnings reserve account; relating to the mental health                                                                 
trust fund; and providing for an effective date."                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
     - HEARD & HELD                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
PRESENTATION(S):  OVERVIEW: PERMANENT FUND FORMULA CHANGES AND                                                                  
PERCENT OF MARKET VALUE                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
     - HEARD                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
PREVIOUS COMMITTEE ACTION                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
BILL: HB3002                                                                                                                  
SHORT TITLE: PERMANENT FUND: INCOME                                                                                             
SPONSOR(s): REPRESENTATIVE(s) EASTMAN                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
08/20/21       (H)       READ THE FIRST TIME - REFERRALS                                                                        
08/20/21       (H)       W&M, STA,  FIN                                                                                         
09/01/21       (H)       W&M AT 1:00 PM DAVIS 106                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
WITNESS REGISTER                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE DAVID EASTMAN                                                                                                    
Alaska State Legislature                                                                                                        
Juneau, Alaska                                                                                                                  
POSITION STATEMENT:   Introduced HB  3002, as the  prime sponsor,                                                             
and provided  a PowerPoint presentation,  titled "HB  3002 Repeal                                                               
of SB 26 Permanent Fund: Income."                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
ALEXEI PAINTER, Director                                                                                                        
Legislative Finance Division                                                                                                    
Juneau, Alaska                                                                                                                  
POSITION STATEMENT:   Provided a PowerPoint  presentation, titled                                                             
 PFD and POMV Legislation.                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
ANGELA RODELL, Chief Executive Officer                                                                                          
Alaska Permanent Fund Corporation                                                                                               
Anchorage, Alaska                                                                                                               
POSITION STATEMENT:   Provided a PowerPoint  presentation, titled                                                             
"Alaska Permanent Fund," dated 9/1/21.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
ACTION NARRATIVE                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
1:01:34 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR IVY  SPOHNHOLZ called the  House Special Committee  on Ways                                                             
and  Means  meeting  to  order  at  1:01  p.m.    Representatives                                                               
Josephson, Prax, Eastman, and Spohnholz  were present at the call                                                               
to   order.       Representatives   Story   and    Schrage   (via                                                               
teleconference) arrived  as the  meeting was  in progress.   Also                                                               
present was Representative Ortiz (via teleconference).                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
                 HB3002-PERMANENT FUND: INCOME                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
1:02:33 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR SPOHNHOLZ announced that the  first order of business would                                                               
be HOUSE BILL  NO. 3002, "An Act relating to  the earnings of the                                                               
Alaska permanent fund and the  earnings reserve account; relating                                                               
to the mental  health trust fund; and providing  for an effective                                                               
date."                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
1:03:55 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  DAVID EASTMAN,  Alaska  State Legislature,  prime                                                               
sponsor, introduced HB  3002.  He stated that the  purpose of the                                                               
legislation was to repeal Senate Bill 26.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
1:05:25 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EASTMAN   directed  attention  to   a  PowerPoint                                                               
presentation, titled  "HB 3002  Repeal of  SB 26  Permanent Fund:                                                               
Income" [hard copy  included in the committee packet].   He began                                                               
on  slide  2, which  highlighted  several  metrics for  FY  2019:                                                               
statutory net  income (SNI) at  43.82 billion; percent  of market                                                               
value (POMV)  at $2.72  billion; and  "appropriated from  ERA" at                                                               
42.72 billion.  The graph  on the right displayed  total spending                                                               
(excluding dividends) from FY 19 to FY 22.                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
1:07:21 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EASTMAN  continued to  slide 3,  which highlighted                                                               
the same three  metrics for FY 20: SNI at  $3.77 billion; POMV at                                                               
$2.93  billion; and  "Appropriated  from ERA"  at $6.93  billion,                                                               
which included an ad hoc appropriation of $4 billion.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR SPOHNHOLZ  asked whether Representative Eastman  was of the                                                               
position  that the  legislature should  not be  able to  transfer                                                               
funds from  the earnings reserve  account (ERA) to the  corpus pf                                                               
the  Alaska  Permanent  Fund  (the  fund)   for  the  purpose  of                                                               
inflation proofing.                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EASTMAN  shared his  understanding that  that, per                                                               
statute, inflation proofing took place automatically.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  SPOHNHOLZ sought  to confirm  that Representative  Eastman                                                               
believed that  the legislature  should not  be able  to inflation                                                               
proof the corpus.                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EASTMAN  remarked, "If we  were going to  be doing                                                               
that, then we didn't need SB 26,  because SB 26 came in and said,                                                               
'we shouldn't be  doing that.'"  He maintained  his position that                                                               
Senate Bill  26 should  be repealed  because the  legislature was                                                               
violating the provisions within two years of its enactment.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
1:09:46 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  JOSEPHSON shared  his  understanding that  Senate                                                               
Bill 26 limited  expenditures from the total of the  fund at 5.25                                                               
percent.     He  clarified   that,  contrary   to  Representative                                                               
Eastman's  understanding,  Senate  Bill   did  not  prohibit  the                                                               
legislature from inflation  proofing.  He asked  the bill sponsor                                                               
to cite a statute that suggested otherwise.                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EASTMAN jumped  forward to slide 6,  which read as                                                               
follows [original punctuation provided]:                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
     AS 37.13.140 (2018 - SB26)                                                                                                 
     Amount Available for Appropriation                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
     (b)   The  corporation   shall  determine   the  amount                                                                    
     available  for  appropriation  each  year.  The  amount                                                                    
     available  for appropriation  is  five  percent of  the                                                                    
     average market value of the  fund for the first five of                                                                    
     the preceding  six fiscal  years, including  the fiscal                                                                    
     year  just ended,  computed  annually  for each  fiscal                                                                    
     year in  accordance with generally  accepted accounting                                                                    
     principles.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     AS 37.13.145 (1992)                                                                                                        
     Amount to be Transferred                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
     (b) At  the end  of each  fiscal year,  the corporation                                                                    
     shall  transfer from  the earnings  reserve account  to                                                                    
     the dividend  fund established  under AS  43.23.045, 50                                                                    
     percent of the income  available for distribution under                                                                    
     AS 37.13.140.                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EASTMAN  interpreted AS 37.13.140(b) to  mean that                                                               
more  than 5  percent of  the average  market value  of the  fund                                                               
could not  be appropriated from  the ERA.   He added, "SB  26 was                                                               
only speaking to  being able to withdraw money  from the earnings                                                               
reserve account."                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  JOSEPHSON  disagreed,  noting  that  he  did  not                                                               
interpret the statute in that  way.  Nonetheless, he considered a                                                               
scenario in which Representative Eastman  was correct in that the                                                               
legislature could not withdraw from  the corpus.  He proceeded to                                                               
point out that  the governor approved the transfer  of $4 billion                                                               
in FY 20.  He asked what the remedy would be.                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EASTMAN  recommended repealing Senate Bill  26 and                                                               
replacing it  with something better  because the  legislature was                                                               
not following the statute as written.                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
1:13:22 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  PRAX  believed   that  the  point  Representative                                                               
Eastman  was trying  to  make  was that  the  law  was not  being                                                               
followed.   He opined that it  wasn't an argument of  whether the                                                               
$4 billion-dollar transfer was a good idea.                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
1:14:11 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EASTMAN  resumed  the presentation  on  slide  4,                                                               
highlighting  the  graph  on  the  right  that  displayed   total                                                               
spending (excluding dividends)  from FY 19  to FY 22.  He pointed                                                               
out that   total spending  (excluding dividends)   increased from                                                               
FY 19  to FY  20 despite the  passage of Senate  Bill 26  and its                                                               
limit on  appropriations.  He  turned to slide 4,  which provided                                                               
the same three  metrics for FY 21: SNI at  $5.02 billion; POMV at                                                               
$3.09 billion; and "Appropriated from the ERA" at $3.09 billion.                                                                
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR   SPOHNHOLZ  sought   to  confirm   that  "total   spending                                                               
(excluding dividends)"  included federal receipts  and designated                                                               
general funds (DGF).                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EASTMAN confirmed  that  all appropriations  were                                                               
included in  that metric except  for the permanent  fund dividend                                                               
(PFD).                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR SPOHNHOLZ  replied, "That's an interesting  definition" [of                                                               
total spending].                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
1:15:31 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EASTMAN  turned to slide 5,  which highlighted the                                                               
same three metrics in FY 22:  SNI at $5.02 billion; POMV at $3.07                                                               
billion; and "Appropriated from the  ERA" at $7.07 billion, which                                                               
included an ad  hoc appropriation of $4 billion.   He emphasized,                                                               
per  the graph  on  the right,  that   total spending  (excluding                                                               
dividends) had increased from FY 21 to FY 22.                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
1:16:13 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  JOSEPHSON  recalled that  Representative  Eastman                                                               
had stated  that the POMV failed  to curtail spending.   He asked                                                               
whether the bill  sponsor preferred that the  legislature opt out                                                               
of any federal COVID-19 spending.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE   EASTMAN  said   his   argument   was  that   the                                                               
legislature's  spending  did  follow   statute.    He  urged  the                                                               
legislature to either  change the law or follow  it; however, his                                                               
preference, he said, was to change the statute.                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR   SPOHNHOLZ  asked   whether  Representative   Eastman  was                                                               
suggesting  that the  legislature should  have enough  revenue to                                                               
cover all the  federal programs, such as road  building, which is                                                               
a 90/10 match, and Medicaid.                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EASTMAN  opined that the appropriations  should be                                                               
based on income received, as opposed  to an arbitrary number.  He                                                               
explained   that   total   spending  was   highlighted   in   the                                                               
presentation  to suggest  that increased  spending was  impacting                                                               
the economy by setting a precedent.                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  SPOHNHOLZ argued  that  it didn't  make  sense to  include                                                               
federal  receipts  in the  consideration  of  funding from  state                                                               
sources.  She  likened it to comparing a banana  to an artichoke,                                                               
as  the  sponsor  was using  completely  different  numbers  with                                                               
different definitions for his rhetorical purposes.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE   EASTMAN   responded   that   this   method   was                                                               
intentional to  highlight the impact  of Senate Bill 26  on total                                                               
spending.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
1:19:23 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  STORY   said  it  would  have   been  helpful  if                                                               
undesignated  state spending  had  been included  on the  slides.                                                               
She  pointed out  that although  federal  funding had  increased,                                                               
undesignated spending  had not increased, which  was an important                                                               
point to highlight for the public.                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
1:19:53 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  JOSEPHSON sought  to confirm  that Representative                                                               
Eastman believed  that the POMV  was not controlled  spending and                                                               
that the legislature should spend more.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EASTMAN  contended  that the  legislature  should                                                               
follow the law.                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  JOSEPHSON  argued   that  Representative  Eastman                                                               
wanted to spend more.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EASTMAN  acknowledged  that he  wanted  to  spend                                                               
differently.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE JOSEPHSON  asked the bill sponsor  to confirm that                                                               
his  amendments on  the  floor called  for  spending billions  of                                                               
dollars more.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EASTMAN stated,  "my amendments  yesterday called                                                               
for spending billions of dollars to  follow the law and to send a                                                               
dividend to people."                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR SPOHNHOLZ pointed  out that HB 3002 would  create a deficit                                                               
of roughly $2 billion to $3 billion  in each of the next 10 years                                                               
moving  forward.   She  asked  whether  the  bill sponsor  had  a                                                               
revenue proposal to offset the spending.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EASTMAN contended that HB  3002 did not call for a                                                               
specific appropriation  amount, it just called  for following the                                                               
statute.  He claimed that SB 26  was passed in a "less than ideal                                                               
manner," as certain  portions were taken out leaving  less than a                                                               
full package.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
1:22:06 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  PRAX expressed  confusion about  the presentation                                                               
and sought to  clarify whether HB 3002 was trying  to address the                                                               
amount  available for  appropriation within  the earnings  of the                                                               
permanent  fund.   He added,  "that  will change  that source  of                                                               
funding for the general fund  (GF), but it doesn't really control                                                               
what's available from the feds or any other source                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EASTMAN nodded  in the  affirmative.   He resumed                                                               
the presentation on  slide 6, noting that  AS 37.13.145(b), which                                                               
provided that the Alaska Permanent  Fund Corporation (APFC) shall                                                               
make  a  transfer  from  the  earnings  reserve  account  to  the                                                               
dividend  fund at  the end  of each  fiscal year,  was not  being                                                               
followed.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
1:23:27 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EASTMAN  continued  to  slide 7,  which  read  as                                                               
follows [original punctuation provided]:                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
     HB69 Enrolled                                                                                                              
     Section 55. ALASKA PERMANENT FUND                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
     (f) The sum of $4,000,000,000 is appropriated from the                                                                     
         earnings reserve account (AS 37.13.145) to the                                                                         
     principal of the Alaska permanent fund.                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRSENTATIVE  EASTMAN indicated  that the  legislature chose  to                                                               
appropriate $4 billion  from the ERA despite  the confirmation by                                                               
APFC that  the amount available  for appropriation was  less than                                                               
that amount.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
1:23:52 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  JOSEPHSON sought  to  clarify why  Representative                                                               
Eastman hadn't  sued the  state to clarify  the law  like Senator                                                               
Wielechowski  in Wielechowski  v. Alaska,  406 P.3d  1141 (Alaska                                                             
2017).                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EASTMAN said he would  prefer that the legislature                                                               
do some housekeeping to clean up its statutes.                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
1:25:06 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EASTMAN  resumed  the presentation  on  slide  8,                                                               
which  reviewed  the amount  of  the  dividend since  passage  of                                                               
Senate Bill  26.  He  indicated that while "total  state spending                                                               
(excluding dividends)"  had steadily  increased since FY  19, the                                                               
dividend amount had decreased.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  SPOHNHOLZ noted  that given  the  power cost  equalization                                                               
(PCE) lawsuit, Alaska  Federation of Natives, et  al. v. Governor                                                             
Michael Dunleavy, et al., the  Legislative Finance Division (LFD)                                                             
advised  that  the  statutory  budget reserve  (SBR)  was  not  a                                                               
sweepable account  and could therefore be  accessible for funding                                                               
the PFD.   She  acknowledged that  there were  competing opinions                                                               
about the  dividend; however,  she wanted  to emphasize  that the                                                               
legislature was  not supportive of  a dividend totaling  $619, as                                                               
suggested on slide 8.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
1:26:20 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  JOSEPHSON expressed  his  dislike  of the  "total                                                               
spending   (excluding  dividends)"   metric,   as   it  was   not                                                               
transparent.  He opined that  although the slide may be factually                                                               
accurate, it was  intended to  excite  the public.   He addressed                                                               
Representative Eastman's reference to  Wielechowski v. Alaska and                                                             
stated, "you're  illustrating that we didn't  fully appropriate a                                                               
statute, but  we're in  a world  where we're  told we  don't have                                                               
to."   He said  the bill  sponsor was  essentially asking  him to                                                               
comply  with  something  that  he didn't  need  to  comply  with.                                                               
Ultimately,  he  said he  didn't  understand  the bill  sponsor's                                                               
position.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EASTMAN  shared his  belief that  compliance could                                                               
be achieved by  two options: follow the law as  written or change                                                               
it.                                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR   SPOHNHOLZ  noted   that  there   were  other   pieces  of                                                               
legislation  that   had  been   introduced  during   the  current                                                               
legislative session that could also help to address that issue.                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
1:28:18 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EASTMAN  resumed  his presentation  on  slide  8,                                                               
explaining that the dividend amounts  shown for FY 22 illustrated                                                               
the opposing views on the SBR.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR SPOHNHOLZ reminded  the public that in  the "total spending                                                               
(excluding   dividends)"  metric,   Representative  Eastman   had                                                               
included federal pandemic relief,  Medicaid, capital funding from                                                               
the federal  government, designated  funds, program  receipts, as                                                               
well as fees paid to the state.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
1:29:11 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EASTMAN turned  to slide 9, which  read as follows                                                               
[original punctuation provided]:                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     AS 37.13.145 (2018 - SB26)                                                                                                 
     Amount Available for Appropriation to General Fund                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
     (3)  The  legislature  may  not  appropriate  from  the                                                                    
     earnings reserve  account to  the general fund  a total                                                                    
     amount   that   exceeds   the  amount   available   for                                                                    
     appropriation under AS 37.13.140(b) in a fiscal year.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EASTMAN remarked,  "when  you  read this  statute                                                               
from SB  26 in light of  that [PCE] decision, you  find that this                                                               
limit is  not actually  having an  effect on  money going  to the                                                               
dividend  fund.   So,  the appropriation  limit  would relate  to                                                               
money going  to the GF, but  if it went directly  to the dividend                                                               
fund, per  the automatic  transfer, for  example, in  statute, it                                                               
would be  wholly escaping that limit  and I don't think  that was                                                               
the intent of the legislature."                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR SPOHNHOLZ said she did  not follow Representative Eastman's                                                               
logic.                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EASTMAN  suggested  that  the  next  slide  would                                                               
clarify  that.   He turned  to slide  10, which  read as  follows                                                               
[original punctuation provided]:                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     AFN v. Dunleavy (August 11, 2021)                                                                                          
     Separate Funds Not Part of The General Fund                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     "Because  the term  "general fund"  was not  a term  of                                                                    
     constitutional    significance    when    the    Alaska                                                                    
     Constitution  was  established,   the  Legislature  had                                                                    
     authority to  establish, by statute, funds  outside and                                                                    
     separate  from the  general  fund.  This authority  was                                                                    
     circumscribed only  by the dedicated funds  clause. And                                                                    
     the Legislature did establish "separate funds."                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
     "In 1984,  the Legislature  established the  Power Cost                                                                    
     Equalization  Fund   as  a   "separate  fund"   of  the                                                                    
     authority."                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EASTMAN  continued to  slide  11,  which read  as                                                               
follows [original punctuation provided]:                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
     AS 43.23.045                                                                                                               
     Dividend Fund                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
     (a)  The dividend  fund is  established  as a  separate                                                                    
     fund in the state treasury.  The dividend fund shall be                                                                    
     administered by the commissioner  and shall be invested                                                                    
     by the commissioner  in the same manner  as provided in                                                                    
     AS 37.10.070.                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EASTMAN  suggested  that the  dividend  fund  was                                                               
established as a separate fund in  the same way that the PCE fund                                                               
was separate from  the GF.  He reasoned that  the limit in Senate                                                               
Bill  26 only  applied  to  funds being  transferred  to the  GF,                                                               
adding,  It was not that  is being specifically put towards funds                                                               
being transferred  to the  dividend fund."   He believed  that if                                                               
the intent  was to limit  funds going  to the dividend  fund, the                                                               
current construction  of Senate  Bill 26  did not  establish that                                                               
goal.                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
1:32:29 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  PRAX  said  he  wasn't  following  Representative                                                               
Eastman's  argument.   He  shared  his  understanding that  money                                                               
could be  transferred from the ERA  to the permanent fund  or the                                                               
dividend fund, as long as the transfer didn't go the GF.                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EASTMAN responded,  "those transfers  that you're                                                               
talking about  to something  other than  the general  fund, under                                                               
the  statute as  written, still  would  have to  fall under  that                                                               
amount  calculated  as  available   for  appropriation  from  the                                                               
Earnings Reserve  Account? We're  not necessarily  following that                                                               
to a T  though.  So, yes,  there is a limit  in statute currently                                                               
on funds that can  go to things other than the  general fund ? in                                                               
AS 37.13.145."   He asked if that  answered Representative Prax's                                                               
question.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE PRAX answered no.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
1:34:41 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  JOSEPHSON  believed that  Representative  Eastman                                                               
was  reading the  statutes in  a "technical  way" and  suggesting                                                               
that the legislature  could appropriate beyond 5  percent as long                                                               
as it's not  to the GF.   He asked what was in  the dividend fund                                                               
right now.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EASTMAN responded, "Not much."                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  JOSEPHSON sought  to confirm  that Representative                                                               
Eastman's view  was that  the amount in  the dividend  fund could                                                               
not be swept because it's not in the GF.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EASTMAN  said, "if  we we're  going to  follow the                                                               
interpretation of AFN, I think that's a compelling argument."                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  SPOHNHOLZ  pointed out  that  it  wasn't likely  that  the                                                               
legislature would  not want  to appropriate  funds that  had been                                                               
appropriated to  the dividend fund.   She shared her  belief that                                                               
this was a  hypothetical scenario that would never  occur in real                                                               
life.                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EASTMAN agreed.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR SPOHNHOLZ  suggested that  the bill  sponsor was  trying to                                                               
fix a nonexistent problem.                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EASTMAN  remarked,   "I'm  not  considering  that                                                               
particular scenario at that the moment."                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
1:36:25 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EASTMAN concluded  his  presentation by  pointing                                                               
out that there was a growing  gap between the SNI calculation and                                                               
the POMV  that was established  in Senate  Bill 26.   He believed                                                               
that those appropriations  were being saved for  a future purpose                                                               
at the expense of the current economy.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE JOSEPHSON pointed  out that Representative Eastman                                                               
had characterized  the 5 percent  POMV as "arbitrary."   He asked                                                               
whether the  bill sponsor was  aware of all the  expert testimony                                                               
that had established and supported that number.                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EASTMAN   said  he   was  aware  of   the  expert                                                               
testimony.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  JOSEPHSON  asked whether  Representative  Eastman                                                               
was aware that  5 percent resembles the typical  POMV number seen                                                               
nationwide.                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EASTMAN explained that  he had characterized it as                                                               
arbitrary  because the  average   income" [SNI]  received by  the                                                               
state over the last 5 years is in excess of $5 billion.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE JOSEPHSON asked  why a 50/50 split of  the POMV is                                                               
not arbitrary.                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EASTMAN  believed  that a  50/50  approach  would                                                               
account for the state's income.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
1:40:49 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE SCHRAGE took exception to  the 5 percent POMV rate                                                               
being characterized as arbitrary.   He explained that even if the                                                               
POMV were tied  to income, it would still be  a five-year rolling                                                               
average;  consequently, he  believed that  such a  scenario could                                                               
create issues if  the market were to collapse,  and the five-year                                                               
average indicated  that the  state was supposed  to pay  out more                                                               
than it  actually had in  the account.  He  said in some  ways it                                                               
could  be an  arbitrary decision  to base  the formula  on income                                                               
rather than on the amount in  the account and the ability to pay.                                                               
Furthermore,  he   pointed  out   that  during   the  discussion,                                                               
Representative  Eastman  had  made  reference  to  repealing  the                                                               
statute and fixing the statute.   He said in reading HB 3002, the                                                               
bill seemed to  be repealing the statute.  He  opined that Senate                                                               
Bill  26 essentially  created a  spending cap  and asked  why the                                                               
bill sponsor wanted to repeal it instead of amending it.                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
1:42:15 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EASTMAN explained  that he was not  an advocate of                                                               
Senate Bill  26 and opined  that it had  been shown not  to work.                                                               
He believed  that the  law should  be written in  a way  that the                                                               
legislature could follow it carefully.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR SPOHNHOLZ thanked Representative  Eastman and clarified for                                                               
the public  that over the  last seven years, the  legislature had                                                               
reduced  the  state's  contribution  to spending  by  about  $500                                                               
million while  inflation had simultaneously eroded  those dollars                                                               
by about 5  percent.  She stressed that there  had been cuts made                                                               
to the  budget, pointing out that  most of the budget  growth had                                                               
come from federal funds.                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
^PRESENTATION(S):   Overview: Permanent Fund Formula  Changes and                                                               
Percent of Market Value                                                                                                         
 PRESENTATION(S):  Overview: Permanent Fund Formula Changes and                                                             
                    Percent of Market Value                                                                                 
                                                                                                                              
1:44:58 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR SPOHNHOLZ announced  that the next order  of business would                                                               
be a  presentation by  Alexei Painter, LFD,  on current  PFD- and                                                               
POMV-related  legislation followed  by  a  presentation from  Ms.                                                               
Rodell.  She  explained that the presentation was  intended to be                                                               
an overview of all the  legislation that was currently before the                                                               
legislature to  help people understand what  the bills' financial                                                               
impact would be to the state.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
1:46:17 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
ALEXEI   PAINTER,   Director,   Legislative   Finance   Division,                                                               
introduced  a  PowerPoint  presentation,  titled  "PFD  and  POMV                                                               
Legislation" [hard  copy included in  the committee packet].   He                                                               
began  on slide  2 with  a disclaimer  that read,  "Scenarios and                                                               
adjustments  in this  presentation reflect  individual pieces  of                                                               
legislation.  Sponsors may  intend these  bills to  be part  of a                                                               
larger package of changes."  He  continued to slide 3, which read                                                               
as follows [original punctuation provided]:                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
     Review of Modeling Baselines                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
      ? Legislative Finance's fiscal model is designed to                                                                       
      show policy makers the longer-term impact of fiscal                                                                       
     policy decisions.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
     ?  The   baseline  assumptions  are   essentially  that                                                                    
     current  budget  levels  are maintained,  adjusted  for                                                                    
     inflation.  Policy  changes  are then  applied  against                                                                    
     that baseline.                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
     ?  Our default  is  to assume  that statutory  formulas                                                                    
     will be followed.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
1:47:43 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MR. PAINTER proceeded to slide 4, which read as follows                                                                         
[original punctuation provided]:                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     Review of Modeling Baselines (cont.)                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
     Revenue Assumptions                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
     ?   LFD's   baseline   revenue  assumptions   are   the                                                                    
     Department of Revenue's Spring Revenue Forecast.                                                                           
       This assumes $61 oil  in FY22, growing with inflation                                                                    
     in future years.                                                                                                           
        DNR oil  production  forecast  projects that  Alaska                                                                    
     North  Slope   production  will  increase   from  459.7                                                                    
     thousand  barrels per  day in  FY22  to 565.5  thousand                                                                    
     barrels per day in FY30.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
     ?  For  the  Permanent  Fund,  we  assume  actual  FY21                                                                    
     returns and Callan's return  assumption, which is 5.86%                                                                    
     for FY22 and 6.20% for FY23 and beyond.                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
1:48:11 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MR. PAINTER advanced to slide 5, which read as follows [original                                                                
punctuation provided]:                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
     Review of Modeling Baselines (cont.)                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
     Spending Assumptions                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
     ? For agency operations,  these scenarios assume 50% of                                                                    
     vetoes  are  restored  to   the  FY22  enacted  budget.                                                                    
     Budgets grow with inflation starting  in FY23 (2.0% per                                                                    
     Callan).                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
     ? For  statewide items, the  baseline assumes  that all                                                                    
     items  are  funded  to their  statutory  levels  beyond                                                                    
     FY22.                                                                                                                      
        This includes  School Debt  Reimbursement, the  REAA                                                                    
     Fund, Community  Assistance, oil  and gas  tax credits.                                                                    
     We assume oil and gas  tax credits are unfunded in FY22                                                                    
     but statutorily funded beginning  FY23 until the credit                                                                    
     balance is eliminated.                                                                                                     
       For  retirement funding, we  are using  draft numbers                                                                    
     presented by  DOR to the  Fiscal Plan Working  Group in                                                                    
     July.                                                                                                                      
        We also  include  a baseline  Fund Transfers  amount                                                                    
     that  represents  the  ongoing   cost  of  DEC's  Spill                                                                    
     Prevention and Response program.                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
     ? For  the capital budget,  we assume the  enacted FY22                                                                    
     capital budget, growing with inflation.                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
     ? For  supplementals we assume $50.0  million per year.                                                                    
     This  is based  on the  average amount  of supplemental                                                                    
     appropriations minus lapsing funds each year.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
1:49:38 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MR. PAINTER reviewed the list of PFD- and POMV-related                                                                          
legislation on slide 6, which read as follows [original                                                                         
punctuation provided]:                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
     PFD and POMV Bills In the 32nd Legislature                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
     Constitutional Amendments                                                                                                  
     ? HJR 1 (Rep. Kreiss-Tomkins)                                                                                              
     ? HJR 7 (Governor Dunleavy)                                                                                                
     ? HJR 10 (Rep. Tuck)                                                                                                       
     ? SJR 1 (Sen. Wielechoski)                                                                                                 
     ? SJR 18 (Sen. von Imhof)                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
     Statutory Changes                                                                                                          
     ? HB 37 (Rep. Wool)                                                                                                        
     ? HB 73 (Governor Dunleavy)                                                                                                
     ? HB 202 (Rep. Merrick)                                                                                                    
     ? HB 3002 (Rep. Eastman)                                                                                                   
     ? HB 3008 (House Ways and Means)                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
1:50:13 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MR. PAINTER proceeded to review each bill beginning with HJR 1                                                                  
on slide 7, which read as follows [original punctuation                                                                         
provided]:                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
     HJR 1 (Rep. Kreiss-Tomkins)                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     ?  Constitutional  amendment combining  Permanent  Fund                                                                    
     principal and earnings reserve into a single account                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
     ? Establishes limit of draws  from Permanent Fund of 5%                                                                    
     POMV                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
     ? Does not deal with PFD                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
1:50:51 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MR. PAINTER  summarized the  governor's bills  on slide  8, which                                                               
read as follows [original punctuation provided]:                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     HJR 7/HB 73 (Governor)                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
     ?  HJR  7  is   a  constitutional  amendment  combining                                                                    
     Permanent Fund  principal and  earnings reserve  into a                                                                    
     single account                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
     ? HJR7  establishes limit of draws  from Permanent Fund                                                                    
     of 5% POMV                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
     ? As  originally drafted, required  that a PFD  be paid                                                                    
     according to a statute that  was approved by the voters                                                                    
     (as provided in HB 73)                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
     ? Governor  revised his proposal, which  was introduced                                                                    
     as a CS  to SJR 6 (the Senate  companion). This version                                                                    
     provides:                                                                                                                  
       Constitutional single Permanent Fund account                                                                             
       Limits draws to 5% POMV                                                                                                  
       Sets PFD as 50% of the POMV draw                                                                                         
        Transfers the  PCE fund  to the  Permanent Fund  and                                                                    
     adds PCE program as constitutional requirement                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
1:52:15 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  PRAX sought  to  clarify whether  HJR 7  included                                                               
what Representative  Kreiss-Tomkins was attempting  to accomplish                                                               
with HJR 1 with several additional provisions.                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
MR. PAINTER answered yes.                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
1:52:55 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MR.  PAINTER turned  to  slide 9,  which  modeled the  governor's                                                               
constitutional amendment (CSSJR 6).   He pointed out that meeting                                                               
the dividends  contemplated by the governor's  plan would require                                                               
ERA draws  above the  POMV in  the first  two years,  after which                                                               
would  not be  allowed under  the constitutional  amendment.   He                                                               
characterized it  as a "broken plan."   He added that  under this                                                               
plan, the  size of  the deficits was  noteworthy with  a baseline                                                               
deficit of over $1 billion in FY  23 and FY 24.  He further noted                                                               
that most plans  contemplated by the fiscal  policy working group                                                               
aimed to solve the budget deficit  somewhere between FY 25 and FY                                                               
27  by proposing  a  range of  $700 million  to  $800 million  in                                                               
policy  changes against  the baseline,  whether that  be spending                                                               
reductions or revenue increases.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
1:55:32 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE JOSEPHSON  shared his  belief that  more recently,                                                               
the governor would  make the argument that new  revenue would not                                                               
be  needed to  replace the  deficits  (represented in  red).   He                                                               
asked Mr.  Painter to  explain why the  governor would  make that                                                               
argument.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
MR. PAINTER  conveyed that the  governor's 10-year  spending plan                                                               
included  budget   reductions  over   the  next   several  years;                                                               
therefore,  in  addition  to  the   budget  not  increasing  with                                                               
inflation, there would  be reductions of $100  million each year,                                                               
as  well  as   50  percent  funding  of  the   school  bond  debt                                                               
reimbursement  program, which  would  reduce  spending below  the                                                               
baseline.    The  governor also  referenced  an  additional  $300                                                               
million of  either spending  or revenue;  however, the  source it                                                               
was not specified.                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  JOSEPHSON  pointed  out that  the  fiscal  policy                                                               
working  group's conclusion  was  different  than the  governor's                                                               
regarding the need for new revenue.   He asked whether that was a                                                               
fair interpretation.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
MR.  PAINTER declined  to speak  for the  members of  the working                                                               
group.   He acknowledged that the  group was a proponent  of more                                                               
revenue and less budget reductions compared to the governor.                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR SPOHNHOLZ  stated that the working  group's recommendations                                                               
included $25  million to  $200 million  in cuts  implemented over                                                               
several years,  in addition  to $500 million  to $775  million in                                                               
new revenue.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
1:58:19 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE PRAX said that's roughly correct.                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR SPOHNHOLZ  highlighted the controversy regarding  the term,                                                               
"bridge funding,"  which was  used by the  governor.   She shared                                                               
her  understanding   that  bridge  funding  was   essentially  an                                                               
overdraw  of the  Alaska Permanent  Fund that  would require  200                                                               
percent of  the sustainable draw.   Further, it would  be drawing                                                               
from  a fund  that  was  projected to  earn  6.2  percent in  the                                                               
constitutional  budget reserve  (CBR) over  the long  term.   She                                                               
noted that  such a  move would  require an  increase in  taxes or                                                               
further  cuts to  the  budget.   She  expressed  her interest  in                                                               
seeing  specific revenue  proposals  from  the administration  to                                                               
make progress on the fiscal plan.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
2:00:06 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE STORY sought to confirm  that under the governor's                                                               
plan, the  PCE fund  would be transferred  to the  permanent fund                                                               
whereas under  the fiscal policy  working group's plan,  it would                                                               
remain.   Additionally, she asked  whether the PCE  fund included                                                               
energy assistance in addition to community assistance.                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
MR.  PAINTER explained  that if  there  were additional  earnings                                                               
available in  the PCE  fund beyond  what was  needed for  the PCE                                                               
program, the  extra money  would go  to community  assistance and                                                               
renewable  energy  projects.     He  added  that  the  governor's                                                               
proposal,  as currently  drafted, did  not provide  for community                                                               
assistance   to   be   funded  as   a   constitutional   mandate;                                                               
accordingly, the entire balance of  the fund would be transferred                                                               
to the  principal of the  Alaska Permanent  Fund.  He  added that                                                               
under  the governor's  plan, UGF  funds would  cover the  cost of                                                               
community assistance.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
2:02:03 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  STORY asked  how  the  renewable energy  projects                                                               
would be funded under the governor's plan.                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
MR. PAINTER  had not heard  any comments from  the administration                                                               
on the continued funding of those projects.                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
2:02:20 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MR. PAINTER resumed  the presentation on slide 10,  which read as                                                               
follows [original punctuation provided]:                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
     HJR 10 (Rep. Tuck)                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
       ? Constitutional amendment retaining two- account                                                                        
     structure                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
     ? Draws limited to 4% of market value of the fund (no                                                                      
     averaging) but may not exceed net income from the fund                                                                     
     in the previous fiscal year                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     ? Splits draw 50/50 between PFD and general fund                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
MR.  PAINTER continued  to  slide 11,  which  provided a  10-year                                                               
model  of  HJR 10.    He  noted  that  the deficit  figures  were                                                               
slightly larger than  the governor's due to lower  draws from the                                                               
fund.                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  SPOHNHOLZ  surmised  that, unless  combined  with  another                                                               
proposal,  this plan  would not  meet  the stress  test that  was                                                               
discussed in  the fiscal  policy working  group.   She speculated                                                               
that HJR 10 could potentially result  in the loss of the dividend                                                               
if earnings dropped significantly.                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
MR. PAINTER confirmed that Representative Spohnholz was correct.                                                                
                                                                                                                                
2:05:02 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MR. PAINTER resumed  the presentation on slide 12,  which read as                                                               
follows [original punctuation provided]:                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
     SJR 1 (Sen. Wielechowski)                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
      ? Constitutional amendment combining Permanent Fund                                                                       
     principal and earnings reserve into a single account                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
     ? Establishes limit of draws from Permanent Fund of 5%                                                                     
     POMV                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
         ? Sets PFD as higher of: (1) current statutory                                                                         
     formula; or (2) 50% of the POMV draw                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
2:06:10 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE JOSEPHSON  asked him to repeat  his explanation of                                                               
SJR 1.                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
MR. PAINTER  explained that the  PFD formula would be  the higher                                                               
than either  50 percent of  SNI or 50  percent of the  POMV draw.                                                               
Under the  scenario of a  flat 6.2 percent earnings,  the current                                                               
statutory formula  always paid more  than 50 percent of  the POMV                                                               
draw;  however, when  volatility  is added  to  the scenario,  50                                                               
percent  of the  POMV draw  could  be higher  than the  statutory                                                               
formula, as  SNI is more  volatile than the  POMV.  He  added tat                                                               
SJR 1  would essentially set a  floor, so that 50  percent of the                                                               
POMV  would  still  go  out  as  the  dividend  in  the  negative                                                               
volatility scenarios.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
2:07:05 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MR. PAINTER directed attention to  slide 13, which provided a 10-                                                               
year model of SJR 1.   He explained that the larger deficits were                                                               
due to the statutory dividend payments.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
2:07:46 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE JOSEPHSON  inquired about  the red  bars in  FY 22                                                               
and FY 23.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
MR.  PAINTER   explained  that  the  red   bars  represented  the                                                               
assumption that the  deficit would be filled by an  ERA draw.  He                                                               
noted that such a decision would be a policy call.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
2:08:17 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MR.  PAINTER  advanced  to  slide   14,  which  read  as  follows                                                               
[original punctuation provided]:                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     SJR 18 (Sen. von Imhof)                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
      ? Constitutional amendment splitting Permanent Fund                                                                       
     into two accounts: Permanent Fund and Alaska Resource                                                                      
     Ownership Revenue Account (ARORA)                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
     ? ARORA established with a transfer equal to the PFDs                                                                      
     paid below the statutory level (about $6.77 billion)                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
      ? Royalties currently directed to the Permanent Fund                                                                      
      will be split equally between the Permanent Fund and                                                                      
     ARORA                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
     ? 5% POMV from each fund. Permanent Fund POMV goes to                                                                      
     the general fund, ARORA to the PFD fund                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MR. PAINTER  turned to slide  15, which provided a  10-year model                                                               
of SJR 18.   He noted that aside from a slight  deficit in FY 22,                                                               
this proposal  would result surpluses  beginning at  $100 million                                                               
in FY 23 that would grow to over $1 billion by FY 28.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
2:10:14 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  PRAX sought  to confirm  that under  SJR 18,  the                                                               
dividend  would be  paid out  of a  one-time contribution  to the                                                               
ARORA fund of $6.77 billion.                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MR.  PAINTER answered  yes, that  would  constitute the  starting                                                               
balance for the  ARORA account, from which a POMV  draw would pay                                                               
the dividend.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE PRAX asked  whether it would be  separate from the                                                               
GF funding of the POMV.                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR SPOHNHOLZ said, "Correct."                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
2:11:31 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  JOSEPHSON  sought  to verify  that  the  dividend                                                               
portion would  have a  "life of  its own" and  grow over  time as                                                               
royalties came in.  Further,  he asked whether the dividends were                                                               
small under SJR 18.                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
MR.  PAINTER answered  yes.   He  estimated that  in  FY 24,  the                                                               
dividend would be under $500.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
2:12:17 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MR.  PAINTER resumed  the presentation  on slide  16, which  read                                                               
[original punctuation provided]:                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     HB 37 (Rep. Wool)                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
     ? Retains statutory 5% POMV                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
      ? Directs 10% of POMV and 30% of total royalties to                                                                       
     the PFD                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
     ? Repeals additional statutory 25% of royalties to the                                                                     
     Permanent Fund                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
       ? Repeals Amerada Hess account (funding source for                                                                       
     Alaska Capital Income Fund)                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     ? Establishes a flat income tax of 2.5%  Estimated to                                                                      
     raise $580 Million in FY23                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
2:14:24 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MR. PAINTER  turned to the  10-year model of  HB 37 on  slide 17,                                                               
highlighting  the   deficit  on  FY  22   followed  by  surpluses                                                               
beginning in FY 24 due to the implementation of the income tax.                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
2:14:53 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MR.  PAINTER  advanced  to  slide   18,  which  read  as  follows                                                               
[original punctuation provided]:                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     HB 202 (Rep. Merrick)                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
     ? Retains statutory 5% POMV                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     ? Directs 30% of total royalties to the PFD                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
MR PAINTER continued to the 10-year  model of HB 202 on slide 19,                                                               
noting that  surpluses would begin  immediately in FY  22 growing                                                               
to $100 million going forward.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  SPOHNHOLZ noted  that  SJR  18, HB  37,  and  HB 2002  all                                                               
balanced  the budget  and would  produce a  surplus based  on LFD                                                               
assumptions.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
2:16:25 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EASTMAN sought to clarify  how HB 202 would impact                                                               
the  25 percent  of royalties  required  to go  to the  permanent                                                               
fund.                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
MR.  PAINTER said  it would  not  affect that  statute; thus,  25                                                               
percent of royalties would continue going to the permanent fund.                                                                
                                                                                                                                
2:16:54 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE JOSEPHSON sought  to confirm that under  HB 37, 25                                                               
percent of royalties would still be  required to go to the corpus                                                               
while 90  percent of  the remaining  75 percent  would go  to the                                                               
PFD.                                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
MR. PAINTER said that was his understanding.                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
2:17:30 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MR. PAINTER resumed  the presentation on slide 21,  which read as                                                               
follows [original punctuation provided]:                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
     HB 3002 (Rep. Eastman)                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
     ? Repeals statutory POMV draw                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
     ? Retains statutory PFD formula                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
MR.  PAINTER continued  to  slide 21,  which  provided a  10-year                                                               
model of HB 3002.                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
2:18:10 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE PRAX  asked whether the balance  of earnings would                                                               
be   available  for   appropriation  even   though  it   was  not                                                               
illustrated on the model shown on slide 21.                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
MR. PAINTER assumed  that the intent of the bill  was not to draw                                                               
to the  GF, as HB 3002  repealed the current draw  to the general                                                               
fund and did not  replace it with another draw.   He said if that                                                               
was not the  bill sponsor's intent, LFD would  happily remodel it                                                               
with different assumptions.                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
2:18:54 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EASTMAN said  the legislation  did not  intend to                                                               
take a  position on how much  would be appropriated from  the ERA                                                               
in  any given  year.   He indicated  that the  legislature should                                                               
determine that in separate legislation.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
MR. PAINTER  responded that LFD  would gladly remodel  it showing                                                               
the deficits being filled from the ERA.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR SPOHNHOLZ opined that it had  been modeled in a manner that                                                               
makes sense and remained consistent with the other modeling.                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
2:19:44 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  JOSEPHSON observed  that to  filling the  deficit                                                               
created by HB 3002 would require $3.1 billion.                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
MR. PAINTER  said with or without  Senate Bill 26, the  ERA could                                                               
be drawn from to fill the deficit.                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
2:20:37 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  PRAX  suggested  illustrating that  the  ERA  was                                                               
available to draw from.                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR SPOHNHOLZ noted that if that  were to happen, the ERA would                                                               
be drained to nothing within several years.                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE PRAX agreed.                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
2:21:42 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EASTMAN  said another  option  would  be for  the                                                               
legislature to appropriate prudently from that account.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  SPOHNHOLZ said,  "That is  true;" however,  HB 3002  would                                                               
require  massive new  revenue or  massive cuts.   Given  that the                                                               
state UGF budget  was just over $4 billion, she  pointed out that                                                               
it would essentially cut the budget by half to two-thirds.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
2:22:46 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  PRAX shared  his understanding  that a  "deficit"                                                               
would not  accurately describe  the scenario,  as there  would be                                                               
money  available to  cover the  gap in  spending.   He asked  Mr.                                                               
Painter to elaborate.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
MR. PAINTER  explained that LFD  typically categorized  any draws                                                               
from a  savings account  that were not  according to  a statutory                                                               
structure as  "deficit spending."   He added that whether  it was                                                               
from the CB, SBR, or ERA,  a draw needed balance the budget would                                                               
be defined  as deficit spending.   Alternatively, if there  was a                                                               
structure  in place,  such as  the POMV  or another  formula, the                                                               
draw would be considered "revenue"  rather than deficit spending.                                                               
He  reiterated that  in absence  of a  statutory plan,  LFD would                                                               
consider a draw to be deficit spending.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  SPOHNHOLZ,  referring  to   slide  21,  acknowledged  that                                                               
without appropriating from the ERA,  the legislature would have a                                                               
deficit  of about  $2.9 billion  in  FY 23  under HB  3002.   She                                                               
pointed out that the delta  between the dotted line (representing                                                               
the  budget)  and the  revenue  would  require either  cuts,  new                                                               
revenue,  or  a  combination  of  the two  totaling  $2.5  to  $3                                                               
billion.                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
2:25:19 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EASTMAN  asked whether LFD could  provide modeling                                                               
that accounted for  "the wealth being generated  by our permanent                                                               
fund in such  a way that better reflects a  definition of deficit                                                               
spending that  would reflect  the state on  the whole  coming out                                                               
with less resources  after deficit spending has  taken place over                                                               
a given year."                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
MR. PAINTER said  LFD would consider the  income that's available                                                               
for appropriation by statute, which  was currently the POMV draw,                                                               
to be the  amount that's revenue and  counted towards identifying                                                               
a deficit.   He opined that whether the state's  net position had                                                               
increased  or decreased  was  a separate  question.   He  further                                                               
noted that  adopting the POMV  moved the state closer  to syncing                                                               
its actual cashflow to the statutory structure.                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
2:29:11 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MR. PAINTER resumed  the presentation on slide 22,  which read as                                                               
follows [original punctuation provided]:                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
     HB 3008 (House Ways and Means)                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
     ? Retains 5% POMV draw                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
     ? Directs 25% of POMV draw to the PFD                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
MR.  PAINTER continued  to  slide 23,  which  provided a  10-year                                                               
model of HB  3008.  He highlighted the deficits  in FY 22 through                                                               
FY  24 followed  by surpluses  beginning  in FY  25, noting  that                                                               
there would  need to  be a  funding source  or policy  changes to                                                               
avoid the unstructured draws in the first several years.                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
2:30:04 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  JOSEPHSON sought  to confirm  that HB  3008 would                                                               
balance the budget, pay a dividend, and require no new revenue.                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
MR. PAINTER answered yes, beyond  the unstructured draws in FY 22                                                               
through FY 24.                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR SPOHNHOLZ  added that beginning  in FY 25, the  state would                                                               
be net positive.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  JOSEPHSON  said,  theoretically,  if  the  people                                                               
wanted  a  constitutionally   protected  dividend,  the  services                                                               
they've  enjoyed, and  a  dividend starting  at  $1,300, HB  3008                                                               
would appear provide all those deliverables.                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
2:32:31 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  SPOHNHOLZ introduced  Ms.  Rodell,  Alaska Permanent  Fund                                                               
Corporation (APFC).                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
2:32:54 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
ANGELA RODELL,  Chief Executive Officer, introduced  a PowerPoint                                                               
presentation,   titled  "Alaska   Permanent  Fund,"   [hard  copy                                                               
included in the  committee packet].  She began on  slide 2, which                                                               
illustrated the  structure of the  fund.   She noted that  if the                                                               
legislature  were to  repeal the  creation  of the  ERA, all  the                                                               
income being generated from the  Alaska Permanent fund would flow                                                               
to  the GF.   She  emphasized that  APFC ("the  corporation") was                                                               
responsible  for investing  and managing  the funds  entrusted to                                                               
its care.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
2:35:27 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MS. RODELL  examined the POMV on  slide 4, which read  as follows                                                               
[original punctuation provided]:                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     Resolutions 03-05 , 04-09                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
     Percent of Market Value                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
     club Supporting a constitutional amendment to limit the                                                                    
     annual Fund payout to not  more than a 5% POMV averaged                                                                    
     over a period of 5 years                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
     club A constitutional  POMV  spending  limit,  has  the                                                                    
     accompanying  benefit of  assuring permanent  inflation                                                                    
     proofing of the entire Fund                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
2:36:12 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MS. RODELL highlighted  the Board of Trustees   recommitment to a                                                               
POMV  structure  in  2018  on  slide 5,  which  read  as  follows                                                               
[original punctuation provided]:                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     Resolution 18-04                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
     Sustainable  Rules-  Based  Legal  Framework  for  Fund                                                                    
     Transfers                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
     Affirms  the  importance  of  formulaic  management  of                                                                    
     transfers   into  and   out  of   the  ERA   to  ensure                                                                    
     sustainability  and long-term  growth of  the Fund,  by                                                                    
     identifying four key principles:                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
     club Adherence                                                                                                             
     club Sustainability                                                                                                        
     club Inflation Proofing                                                                                                    
     club Real Growth                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
2:37:12 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MS. RODELL detailed Resolution 20-01 on slide 6, which read as                                                                  
follows [original punctuation provided]:                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
     Resolution 20-01                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
     The  Board  recognizes  the  essential  step  taken  to                                                                    
     codify  an  annual,  value-based  draw  from  the  Fund                                                                    
     through the enactment of SB 26, Chapter 16 SLA 18.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
     This  resolution brings  forth  additional measures  to                                                                    
     enhance the  sustainable use of  Fund earnings  for the                                                                    
     benefit of all generations of Alaskans, including:                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
     club Transform, by constitutional or statutory amendment,                                                                  
     the Alaska Permanent Fund  and Earnings Reserve Account                                                                    
     into a  single fund  and limit the  annual draw  to the                                                                    
     Fund's long-term real return                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
     club Consider adjustments to the  existing  rules-based                                                                    
     system  governing  Fund  transfers,   if  the  ERA  and                                                                    
     Principal are not combined:                                                                                                
        club Periodic Review of Fund Return Assumptions                                                                         
          club ERA Balance Buffer (4x the annual draw)                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
2:38:12 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MS. RODELL turned to slide 7, which read as follows [original                                                                   
punctuation provided]:                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
     Trustees' Paper Volume 9                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
     Successful  SWFs operate  within  a rules-based  system                                                                    
     that allows  them to perform  a combination  of saving,                                                                    
     stabilization, and income-generation functions.                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
     This  paper  proposes a  number  of  reforms that  will                                                                    
     strengthen   the   stability  and   sustainability   of                                                                    
     Alaska's Permanent Fund:                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
     LESSON #1: MISSION CLARITY                                                                                                 
     LESSON #2: THE IMPORTANCE OF RULES                                                                                         
     LESSON  #3:  SUCCESSFUL  ENFORCEMENT  OF  SAVING  RULES                                                                    
     LESSON #4: DESIGNING A POMV SPENDING RULE                                                                                  
     LESSON #5: REFORMING THE ERA                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
2:38:42 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MS. RODELL addressed statutory distribution calculations on                                                                     
slide 9, which read as follows [original punctuation provided]:                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
     Income Based                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
     Sec. 37.13.140. Income.                                                                                                    
     (a)  ?  Income  available for  distribution  equals  21                                                                    
     percent  of the  net income  of the  fund for  the last                                                                    
     five  fiscal  years,  including the  fiscal  year  just                                                                    
     ended, ?                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
     Sec. 37.13.145. Disposition of income.                                                                                     
     (b)  ...  50  percent   of  the  income  available  for                                                                    
     distribution under AS 37.13.140.                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
     Value Based                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     Sec 37.13.140. Income.                                                                                                     
     (b)  ?The amount  available for  appropriation is  5.00                                                                    
     percent of  the average  market value  of the  fund for                                                                    
     the  first  five of  the  preceding  six fiscal  years,                                                                    
     including the fiscal year just ended ?                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
     Sec. 37.13.145. Disposition of income.                                                                                     
     (e)  The  legislature  may  not  appropriate  from  the                                                                    
     earnings reserve  account to  the general fund  a total                                                                    
     amount   that   exceeds   the  amount   available   for                                                                    
     appropriation under  AS 37.13.140(b) in a  fiscal year.                                                                    
     (f) The  combined total  of the  transfer under  (b) of                                                                    
     this  section and  an appropriation  under (e)  of this                                                                    
     section  may  not  exceed   the  amount  available  for                                                                    
     appropriation under AS 37.13.140(b).                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
2:43:14 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE PRAX asked asked whether inflation proofing                                                                      
covered itself if the draws were calculated on POMV and a five-                                                                 
year average.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
MS. RODELL stated that inflation  proofing would be accounted for                                                               
if the fund was not a  two-account structure.  She noted that the                                                               
Board  of  Trustees  supported constitutionalizing  the  POMV  to                                                               
create  a  mechanism  that  naturally  inflation  proofs  itself;                                                               
therefore,  the  fund  would  no  longer  rely  on  appropriation                                                               
mechanisms to continue to grow.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
2:45:27 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MS. RODELL resumed  the presentation on slide  10 and highlighted                                                               
the    distribution   calculations    that   were    subject   to                                                               
appropriation.                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
2:47:21 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  PRAX asked  whether theoretically,  the statutory                                                               
dividend fund  transfer calculation  under AS  37.13.145(b) could                                                               
exceed the POMV calculation under AS 37.13.140(b).                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
MS. RODELL answered  yes, it could be a possibility  if there was                                                               
a market draw down that  substantially lowered the calculation of                                                               
the POMV.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
MS.  RODELL,   in  response  to   an  additional   question  from                                                               
Representative  Prax,  directed  attention  to  slide  12.    She                                                               
pointed out  that as of June  30, 2021, the total  fund value was                                                               
$81,098,900,000 with  the principal comprising $60.1  billion and                                                               
the ERA comprising $21 billion.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
2:51:09 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  SPOHNHOLZ   returned  to   slide  9  and   highlighted  AS                                                               
37.13.145(f).   She  pointed out  that during  the hearing  on HB
3002, Representative  Eastman identified the tension  in the laws                                                               
as it  related to the  dividend formula.   She recalled  that the                                                               
original version of Senate Bill  26 included a 75/25 split, which                                                               
would  have resolved  the  dividend situation  at  that point  in                                                               
time.  She said, "Hindsight is often 20/20."                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
2:53:11 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE PRAX  asked how a catastrophic  event would affect                                                               
the legislature's ability to access the  funds if the ERA and the                                                               
principal were combined into one account.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
MS.  RODELL   emphasized  the   importance  of   having  reserves                                                               
available for  every eventuality, as  opposed to a  prudent spend                                                               
on the permanent fund.  She pointed  out that if both the ERA and                                                               
the  principal  were rolled  into  one  account, the  legislature                                                               
would be  limited by the constitution  on the draw.   She said if                                                               
there was a catastrophe, there  would be various avenues that the                                                               
legislature could take to address that issue.                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
2:55:02 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE PRAX sought to confirm  that in theory, $9 billion                                                               
was available whereas if the  two accounts were combined, only $3                                                               
billion or $4 billion would be available.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
MS.   RODELL  pointed   out  that   the  hypothetical   posed  by                                                               
Representative Prax assumed  that the accounts were  rolled up at                                                               
their current  balances; further, that  a portion of the  ERA was                                                               
not  appropriated  into  one  of the  other  budget  reserves  in                                                               
anticipation of the passage of the constitutional amendment.                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR SPOHNHOLZ,  in response to Representative  Prax, noted that                                                               
several of  the proposed constitutional amendments  addressed the                                                               
permanent fund,  none of which had  passed.  She agreed  that all                                                               
proposals need to be stress  tested and emphasized the importance                                                               
of diversifying the revenue stream.                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE PRAX believed that there  may be a liquidity issue                                                               
if there were a catastrophic event.                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
2:57:25 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MS.  RODELL, in  response  to  Representative Eastman,  indicated                                                               
that APFC had not identified a target amount for the fund.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EASTMAN  asked whether the corporation's  goal was                                                               
for the fund to grow in perpetuity.                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
MS. RODELL believed the answer was yes.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
2:59:31 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EASTMAN  asked  whether   APFC  had  discussed  a                                                               
minimum  balance at  which point  there shouldn't  be more  taken                                                               
from the fund.                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
MS.  RODELL answered  no; however,  she pointed  out that  if the                                                               
constitutional limit was  5 percent, that would in  and of itself                                                               
protect  the fund  by creating  a natural  spending limit  on the                                                               
fund.                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
3:01:08 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MS. RODELL,  in response to Representative  Story, confirmed that                                                               
the amount  of $12.2 billion  in the ERA  (as shown on  slide 12)                                                               
was  an  adequate  buffer to  withstand  market  movements  while                                                               
maintaining POMV  commitments.  Additionally, she  emphasized the                                                               
corporation's commitment  to following  a rules-based  system and                                                               
staying within the established spending rules.                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
3:02:56 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  JOSEPHSON  addressed   the  court  decision  that                                                               
identified PCE  as a separate fund  held by a corporation.   From                                                               
that decision, he  inferred that the state was  allowed to create                                                               
separate funds outside the GF.   He recalled the argument made by                                                               
Representative  Eastman that  the state  could effectively  evade                                                               
the 5 percent rule by appropriating  beyond that to things not in                                                               
the GF.   He asked whether  that sounded like a  sustainable plan                                                               
that  could  produce the  necessary  income  to provide  for  the                                                               
government.                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
MS. RODELL  indicated that the  only way the POMV  would continue                                                               
to "kick  off" the  level of  income that the  state had  come to                                                               
rely on, was  to ensure that the balances  under that calculation                                                               
continue to be robust.  She  added that while the legislature was                                                               
perfectly  within its  purview  to appropriate  the  ERA down  to                                                               
zero, long-term  impacts would  be realized  on the  budget going                                                               
forward,  as the  amount of  revenue available  to the  state for                                                               
essential purposes would decrease.                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
3:06:11 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MS. RODELL resumed the presentation  on slide 13 to contextualize                                                               
the importance  of the  fund to Alaska's  economy.   She reported                                                               
that since  inception, realized  earnings totaled  $76.6 billion.                                                               
She  proceeded  to analyze  the  distribution  of those  realized                                                               
earnings from  FY 17  to FY 21.   She pointed  out that  the POMV                                                               
demonstrated that  the discipline  of spending rules  had allowed                                                               
for prudent  spending while saving  enough to generate  a healthy                                                               
fund that  could continue to  provide for Alaskans well  into the                                                               
future.                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
3:09:24 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EASTMAN  asked  whether  APFC  had  performed  an                                                               
independent  analysis  on  the likelihood  of  higher  inflation;                                                               
additionally, he asked  whether there had been  any discussion on                                                               
adjusting the 5 percent to account for potential high inflation.                                                                
                                                                                                                                
MS. RODELL  stated that the  Board of Trustees had  not discussed                                                               
recommending an adjustment  to the spending rule of  5 percent to                                                               
account for  inflation.   However, the  board had  considered the                                                               
impact  that   high  inflation  scenarios   could  have   on  the                                                               
investment  performance of  the fund  and how  that could  affect                                                               
growth going forward.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
3:10:46 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EASTMAN  asked whether  APFC had the  resources to                                                               
conduct  an  independent  analysis   on  the  potential  of  high                                                               
inflation in the future.                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
MS. RODELL said high level analyses  had been performed by a risk                                                               
group.                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
3:11:51 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MS.  RODELL, in  response  to  Representative Eastman,  explained                                                               
that the goal of the risk  scenarios was to ensure that the Board                                                               
of  Trustees  understands  the  potential  risks  that  could  be                                                               
incurred under certain conditions  with the asset allocation that                                                               
had been  directed to invest  through.   She added that  the risk                                                               
presentations provide  likelihoods, or  "tail risks,"  which were                                                               
ongoing measurements  that the board  looks at to  ensure prudent                                                               
risks are being taken.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
3:13:53 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE JOSEPHSON  asked what concerns APFC  would have if                                                               
HJR 1 were to  pass in its current form with  the addition of the                                                               
language "there shall be a PFD.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
MS. RODELL said  her only concern would  be the lack of  a cap on                                                               
the distribution.                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  SPOHNHOLZ noted  that the  cap in  HJR 1  was currently  5                                                               
percent.                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
3:15:10 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  SCHRAGE asked  for  APFC's opinion  on an  excess                                                               
draw and whether the context for an excess draw mattered.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
MS. RODELL  stated that knowing  how much  would be taken  out of                                                               
the fund  was very beneficial  to APFC.   She indicated  that the                                                               
corporation would like that to continue.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
3:18:40 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE JOSEPHSON  asked whether APFC viewed  the transfer                                                               
of money  from the  ERA to  the corpus  as a  violation of  the 5                                                               
percent rule.                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
MS. RODELL answered no because it was not leaving the fund.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
3:19:09 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  SPOHNHOLZ asked  whether the  numbers on  slide 14,  which                                                               
showed state revenues  and ERA draws from 1969 to  2030, had been                                                               
adjusted for inflation and/or population.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
MS.  RODELL  said the  data  was  taken  from the  state  Revenue                                                               
Resources  book, she  offered  to follow  up  with the  requested                                                               
information.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
3:19:43 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CHAIR  SPOHNHOLZ   encouraged  members  to  read   the  Board  of                                                               
Trustee     papers,  the   latest  of   which  reiterated   their                                                               
commitment to spending rules.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
3:21:32 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
ADJOURNMENT                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
There being no  further business before the  committee, the House                                                               
Special  Committee on  Ways and  Means meeting  was adjourned  at                                                               
3:21 p.m.                                                                                                                       

Document Name Date/Time Subjects
APFC Presentation 9.1.21.pdf HW&M 9/1/2021 1:00:00 PM
APFC
Leg Finance POMV and PFD bills 9.1.21.pdf HW&M 9/1/2021 1:00:00 PM
POMV-PFD bills comparison table.pdf HW&M 9/1/2021 1:00:00 PM
HB 3002 Presentation 9.1.21.pdf HW&M 9/1/2021 1:00:00 PM
HB3002
Leg Finance POMV and PFD bills CORRECTED 9.1.21.pdf HW&M 9/1/2021 1:00:00 PM
POMV-PFD bills comparison table CORRECTED.pdf HW&M 9/1/2021 1:00:00 PM